Warren Buffet's Long Bet

Warren Buffet has made the following bet: "Over a ten-year period commencing on January 1, 2008, and ending on December 31, 2017, the S & P 500 will outperform a portfolio of funds of hedge funds, when performance is measured on a basis net of fees, costs and expenses."

Warren Buffet is the "GURU" for finances and his company Berkshire Hathaway is one of the best companies out there. He's so good, he's number 2 richest behind Bill Gates by a few billion.
Long Bets - Accountable Predictions
Predictify forecasts Yes

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5166

Predictify forecasts Yes with 532 predictions

Yes (88%)

Safe bet
Statiscally he has the edge...
Warren Buffet knows all...
Yas

No (12%)

He recently lost a pile of money, like everyone el
Meh, I live for today not 10 years from now.
They have to win.

44 Comments

Hot Comment

8.0

Comment Quality

	if i could outguess warren buffet, i wouldn't be wasting my time on the internet.
	— ediefaber predicts Yes 10 0

Sort By: Most Recent | Rating | Quality

amberfields Beginner predicts No Comment Quality: 5.8 /10
	Buffet didn't see the train wreck in subprime coming. He didn't know that the insurance industry (such as AIG) would be hit as hard as it was EVEN THOUGH HIS PRIMARY EXPERTISE IS IN THE INSURANCE INDUSTRY! His investments were hit really hard. He was totally caught with his pants down, but now he's making predictions? Buffet didn't see the train wreck in subprime coming. He didn't know that the insurance industry (such as AIG) would be hit as hard as it was EVEN THOUGH HIS PRIMARY EXPERTISE IS IN THE INSURANCE... -- amberfields
	posted 4 days ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

wahmdiary Beginner predicts No Comment Quality: 5.5 /10
	I'm guessing new regulations and a crackdown on those that are suppose to be enforcing all regulations will throw a wrench in his long bet. I'm guessing new regulations and a crackdown on those that are suppose to be enforcing all regulations will throw a wrench in his long bet. -- wahmdiary
	posted 12 days ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

esmurf Apprentice predicts Yes Comment Quality: 5.1 /10
	I wouldn't bet AGAINST Buffet. I wouldn't bet AGAINST Buffet. -- esmurf
	posted 15 days ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

oscarjc Beginner predicts Yes Comment Quality: 4.8 /10
	he knows his stuff he knows his stuff -- oscarjc
	posted 17 days ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

Crybaby Beginner predicts No Comment Quality: 5.2 /10
	There won't be a portfolio in 2017 to measure against. There won't be a portfolio in 2017 to measure against. -- Crybaby
	posted 24 days ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

drewjenn00 Beginner predicts No Comment Quality: 5.6 /10
	Sadly i think the era of Buffet is over and hedge funds, much like mutual funds when Buffet was younger will be the new money makers. There are too many tools, forecasting methods and just huge money in the hedge fund world right now. They have to win. Sadly i think the era of Buffet is over and hedge funds, much like mutual funds when Buffet was younger will be the new money makers. There are too many tools, forecasting methods and just huge... -- drewjenn00
	posted 25 days ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

miamigirl Beginner predicts Yes Comment Quality: 4.8 /10
	he knows his stuff he knows his stuff -- miamigirl
	posted 1 month ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

jim2c53 Beginner predicts No Comment Quality: 5.1 /10
	i don't know what he is talking about but i think he is full of hot air. i don't know what he is talking about but i think he is full of hot air. -- jim2c53
	posted 2 months ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

golfgate Beginner predicts No Comment Quality: 5.5 /10
	Even thou its a pool of hedge funds, their very nature to take big bets will drive returns higher WB would be correct if the bet was on a risk adjusted basis but it does not appear to be. Even thou its a pool of hedge funds, their very nature to take big bets will drive returns higher WB would be correct if the bet was on a risk adjusted basis but it does not appear to be. -- golfgate
	posted 2 months ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

Lightgiver Beginner predicts No Comment Quality: 5.1 /10
	He will loose his bet as he had before going long on the Dow. He will loose his bet as he had before going long on the Dow. -- Lightgiver
	posted 2 months ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

kipknight Beginner predicts Yes Comment Quality: 4.9 /10
	His track record is the best His track record is the best -- kipknight
	posted 2 months ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

doltmonger Beginner Comment Quality: 5.6 /10
	That pretty much sums up america's stance over the past 50 years. no investment in transportation, energy. maximize profits now, forget infrastructure. we're screwed for it. meh, I live for today not 10 years from now. -- LghtngQuotes That pretty much sums up america's stance over the past 50 years. no investment in transportation, energy. maximize profits now, forget infrastructure. we're screwed for it. [Q]meh, I live... -- doltmonger
	posted 2 months ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

dlhenson Apprentice predicts Yes Comment Quality: 5.3 /10
	I'll go along with him. He's one of the richest men in the country. He must be doing something right. I'll go along with him. He's one of the richest men in the country. He must be doing something right. -- dlhenson
	posted 2 months ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

Texan90 Beginner predicts Yes Comment Quality: 5.1 /10
	Statiscally he has the edge... Statiscally he has the edge... -- Texan90
	posted 2 months ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

LghtngQuotes Beginner predicts No Comment Quality: 5.0 /10
	meh, I live for today not 10 years from now. meh, I live for today not 10 years from now. -- LghtngQuotes
	posted 3 months ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

justpassinthru Beginner predicts No Comment Quality: 5.5 /10
	I'm leary of anyone who has the confidence of 90% of the people....that's how people felt about Madoff...before he made off with their money. I'm leary of anyone who has the confidence of 90% of the people....that's how people felt about Madoff...before he made off with their money. -- justpassinthru
	posted 3 months ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

Bloefeld Beginner predicts Yes Comment Quality: 4.6 /10
	Safe bet Safe bet -- Bloefeld
	posted 3 months ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

HenryBowman Beginner Comment Quality: 4.9 /10
	That is non-sensical. if he said it would then it will -- DRCannarella That is non-sensical. [Q]if he said it would then it will -- DRCannarella[/Q] -- HenryBowman
	posted 3 months ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

blumoon Beginner predicts Yes Comment Quality: 5.6 /10
	No brainer here. Every recession/depression has been followed by an economic boom. While past performance is no predictor of future results, time is on Buffet's side. No brainer here. Every recession/depression has been followed by an economic boom. While past performance is no predictor of future results, time is on Buffet's side. -- blumoon
	posted 4 months ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

adowds Apprentice Comment Quality: 4.9 /10
	what hedge funds? what hedge funds? -- adowds
	posted 4 months ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

DRCannarella Scholar predicts Yes Comment Quality: 4.8 /10
	if he said it would then it will if he said it would then it will -- DRCannarella
	posted 4 months ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

JudyS Beginner Comment Quality: 6.0 /10
	Let's just say that Warren seems to know more than I about money and markets. I'll gladly tag along with him on this. Let's just say that Warren seems to know more than I about money and markets. I'll gladly tag along with him on this. -- JudyS
	posted 4 months ago Reply +1 0 Report Abuse

dtw1264@msn.com Scholar predicts Yes Comment Quality: 5.7 /10
	I would never bet against Warren. I would never bet against Warren. -- dtw1264@msn.com
	posted 5 months ago Reply +1 0 Report Abuse

motonagamori Beginner Comment Quality: 5.2 /10
	10,000 hours of practise have been made by warren buffet, so I have no doubt on it. 10,000 hours of practise have been made by warren buffet, so I have no doubt on it. -- motonagamori
	posted 6 months ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

dnicolo1 Beginner predicts Yes Comment Quality: 5.0 /10
	Hope I live long enough to see the results. Hope I live long enough to see the results. -- dnicolo1
	posted 7 months ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

sly_cindy Expert predicts Yes Comment Quality: 5.1 /10
	Buffet's the "MAN". Buffet's the "MAN". -- sly_cindy
	posted 9 months ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

BrodyFlint Guru predicts Yes Comment Quality: 5.6 /10
	I agree with Warren... I agree with Warren... -- BrodyFlint
	posted 10 months ago Reply +1 0 Report Abuse

Sciguy Scholar predicts Yes Comment Quality: 6.4 /10
	Warren Buffet knows all... Warren Buffet knows all... -- Sciguy
	posted 10 months ago Reply +2 0 Report Abuse

csemmerich Guru predicts Yes Comment Quality: 6.1 /10
	Buffet's a smart man. I won't challenge him on this one. Where's my margarita? Buffet's a smart man. I won't challenge him on this one. Where's my margarita? -- csemmerich
	posted 10 months ago Reply +1 0 Report Abuse

sorenstam Guru predicts Comment Quality: 6.0 /10
	He's a billionaire because he invests in some stock and then talk it up publicly and the price rises and then he sells. He's a billionaire because he invests in some stock and then talk it up publicly and the price rises and then he sells. -- sorenstam
	posted 11 months ago Reply +1 0 Report Abuse

marketcap Expert predicts Yes Comment Quality: 6.3 /10
	He's a multi-billionaire for a reason. He's a multi-billionaire for a reason. -- marketcap
	posted 11 months ago Reply +2 0 Report Abuse

sorenstam Guru predicts Comment Quality: 5.3 /10
	114 months?? Ignore feature please!! 114 months?? Ignore feature please!! -- sorenstam
	posted 11 months ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

lighteningrodd Expert predicts Yes Comment Quality: 6.7 /10
	I don't doubt Warren Buffet's predictions on the S&P performance. What I am curious about, is at his age, will he even be around to see it come to reality... I don't doubt Warren Buffet's predictions on the S&P performance. What I am curious about, is at his age, will he even be around to see it come to reality... -- lighteningrodd
	posted 12 months ago Reply +2 0 Report Abuse

Umpani7 Expert predicts Yes Comment Quality: 6.7 /10
	Confident that Predictify will be here in 2017 I say yes! Confident that Predictify will be here in 2017 I say yes! -- Umpani7
	posted 12 months ago Reply +3 0 Report Abuse

Redpup_22 Guru predicts Yes Comment Quality: 5.5 /10
	I would have to agree with the Buff. I would have to agree with the Buff. -- Redpup_22
	posted 12 months ago Reply +1 0 Report Abuse

msavino5358 Guru predicts Yes Comment Quality: 5.0 /10
	yas yas -- msavino5358
	posted 12 months ago Reply +1 0 Report Abuse

reland1 Beginner predicts Yes Comment Quality: 6.4 /10
	Buffet knows the S&P will be the "last man standing". Buffet knows the S&P will be the "last man standing". -- reland1
	posted 12 months ago Reply +2 0 Report Abuse

deches Guru predicts Yes Comment Quality: 5.4 /10
	Thanks for the freebie and "nobrainer". The bigger question - "Will this site be here and in what form will it exist?" Thanks for the freebie and "nobrainer". The bigger question - "Will this site be here and in what form will it exist?" -- deches
	posted 12 months ago Reply 0 0 Report Abuse

barondog1 Guru predicts Yes Comment Quality: 5.6 /10
	ok...you win ok...you win -- barondog1
	posted 12 months ago Reply +1 0 Report Abuse

johnofbham Apprentice predicts Yes Comment Quality: 5.4 /10
	Boy howdy! Boy howdy! -- johnofbham
	posted 12 months ago Reply +1 0 Report Abuse

szn46 Scholar predicts Yes Comment Quality: 7.5 /10
	I can't think of a better "predictifier" than Warren Buffet! Odds are good. I can't think of a better "predictifier" than Warren Buffet! Odds are good. -- szn46
	posted 12 months ago Reply +6 0 Report Abuse

justinzachary Expert predicts Yes Comment Quality: 7.1 /10
	Buffet probably won't be alive in 10 years to see the fruits of his prediction. Also, Buffet is the #1 wealthiest person in the world, now. Buffet probably won't be alive in 10 years to see the fruits of his prediction. Also, Buffet is the #1 wealthiest person in the world, now. -- justinzachary
	posted 12 months ago Reply +3 0 Report Abuse

ediefaber Guru predicts Yes Comment Quality: 8.0 /10
	if i could outguess warren buffet, i wouldn't be wasting my time on the internet. if i could outguess warren buffet, i wouldn't be wasting my time on the internet. -- ediefaber
	posted 12 months ago Reply +10 0 Report Abuse

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